Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.461373 1.580978 1.707372 1.851172 2.010579 2.182259 2.381650
2025-12-28 1.278582 1.443291 1.626972 1.848078 2.108443 2.407043 2.777922
2026-01-04 1.167934 1.360533 1.584137 1.865148 2.212010 2.630261 3.179077
2026-01-11 1.088730 1.300724 1.554994 1.886074 2.311160 2.846109 3.582415
2026-01-18 1.024755 1.250620 1.529111 1.902939 2.399684 3.048914 3.981885
2026-01-25 0.966028 1.200640 1.496883 1.905241 2.464576 3.220800 4.351032
2026-02-01 0.899763 1.135297 1.438654 1.866257 2.467247 3.303818 4.597737
2026-02-08 0.846920 1.083466 1.393712 1.840156 2.482922 3.402627 4.872597
2026-02-15 0.805390 1.043756 1.361789 1.828505 2.516149 3.526662 5.194631
2026-02-22 0.784281 1.030132 1.364050 1.864275 2.619531 3.761549 5.713622
2026-03-01 0.750195 0.996368 1.335711 1.852905 2.650075 3.885196 6.061152
2026-03-08 0.714752 0.958707 1.299459 1.826896 2.655169 3.967306 6.344254
2026-03-15 0.670538 0.907047 1.241171 1.765319 2.601919 3.953358 6.462783
2026-03-22 0.648634 0.886515 1.227273 1.770699 2.655708 4.120598 6.926928
2026-03-29 0.631793 0.872417 1.221921 1.788603 2.730521 4.328973 7.491873
2026-04-05 0.616768 0.860152 1.218440 1.808811 2.809961 4.551423 8.111002
2026-04-12 0.601749 0.847083 1.212856 1.824884 2.882891 4.767776 8.745069
2026-04-19 0.584424 0.829662 1.199516 1.827083 2.931229 4.942293 9.314134
2026-04-26 0.559223 0.799077 1.164047 1.790103 2.906894 4.976801 9.584741
2026-05-03 0.538362 0.774372 1.136760 1.765335 2.902618 5.048877 9.946720
2026-05-10 0.521729 0.755613 1.118132 1.754278 2.922510 5.169636 10.435267
2026-05-17 0.515477 0.752922 1.125281 1.788222 3.028600 5.472783 11.397639
2026-05-24 0.500455 0.735645 1.107719 1.777433 3.048389 5.599566 11.948434